Good Crime Stat News For A Change!

by Diane on January 11, 2010

Ahh - Optimism!

Ahh - Optimism!

Is that some light I see at the end of the crime and justice tunnel? Well, by golly, I think it is!

Let’s start out this New Year by reviewing some recent encouraging news from the crime and justice front.

First, the overall crime rate in America is down. It may not feel like it where you live, some states had better showings than others, but nationwide the statistics are startling, especially since many believe in times of economic stress crime rates usually go up. This proves that’s not necessarily so.

The latest FBI stats show the most surprising decline came in the rate of murder and manslaughter cases, down 10 fbiseal3percent during the first 6 months of 2009. Robbery rates dropped by 6.5 percent, property crimes fell 6.1 percent and violent crimes by 4.4. Rapes were off 3.3 percent. Oh, and probably because of advances in vehicle security systems and GPS tracking devices car theft was chopped by almost 19 percent!

Crime rates haven’t been this low since the 1960s. I’m getting all giddy and hopeful just writing this down!

While the statistics are impressive no one can say for sure why the declines happened. Probably because a bunch of us are getting older, over 50, and generally speaking crimes are most often committed by younger people. Another theory: more of us are unemployed, staying home and scaring away would be robbers.

pollyanna

We're All in This Together, Right?

Am I a Pollyanna to think that maybe the hard economic times we’ve all gone through the last couple of years resulted a communal feeling of being in the same fox hole, fighting the same common enemy, and we’re less likely now to victimize our fellow survivors? Maybe while we were hunkered down for so long we somehow learned compassion for others.

My hypothesis could be buttressed by this next bit of good news. Good Samaritan tipsters calling in to Crime Stoppers programs with valuable information on murderers, rapists, drug dealers and other criminals are deciding not to claim their cash rewards – even when they amount to thousands of dollars.

Lt. Tom Kern, Chairman of Crime Stoppers USA says, “Most of the programs I have spoken with report 20-30% of their eligible callers did not claim their rewards and a couple of programs said that over 50% of rewards have gone unclaimed.” In Morris County, New Jersey the numbers are even more astounding. Crime Stoppers Chairman John Sette says up to 90% of their tipsters now shun rewards, “The majority of people don’t want the money … They want the bad guys off the street.”

crime stoppers2

Citizen Involvement Rocks

Unselfish Americans watching out for each other to keep the streets safer from crime. Sweet.

And, finally, for the first time in four decades the prison population in America is not growing as fast as it had been. Since the early 1970’s the number of prisoners has risen steadily every single year, according to the Bureau of Justice Statistics. In the 1990’s, for example, the prison population ballooned an average 6.5% every year as states enacted tougher anti-crime laws. But in 2009 the rate of growth was only 0.8 percent.

The reason for the downward tick in the numbers of new prisoners is again credited to the graying of America and the number of young men who have chosen to enter the armed services to fight in places like Afghanistan and Iraq.

But there’s another trend in prison reform that accounts for the prison population decline and gives me great hope. Many states have begun to look at alternative ways to keep people from ever entering prison. A new system of drug courts is springing up designed to take first time felony offenders and put them into a program of therapy and close case management. Let’s face it, our decades long War on Drugs has been a failure and this outside-the-box thinking might be a good step in a much needed different direction.

Too Many Getting Out Too Soon

Too Many Getting Out Too Soon?

Lest my inner Pollyanna run amok here let me also hasten to say that there is negative news on the prison inmate front too. With budgets squeezed dry many states are releasing convicts long before they’ve served their full sentences. California is letting loose 40 thousand inmates to make ends meet. Some criminal justice experts warn another crime wave, perpetrated by these new releases, could be right around the corner.

But for now let’s dwell on the positive. For the first time in 40 years America’s crime rates are down and the number of new prisoners is at its lowest rate of increase. Maybe most importantly, if the Crime Stoppers trend spreads we may be seeing a new era of neighbors caring about neighbors, taking responsibility for the safety of their own communities.

What a great way to start the New Year!

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{ 9 comments… read them below or add one }

1 DianeDimond January 11, 2010 at 3:45 pm

Facebook Friend Danielle Richardson writes:

" I am thankful every time I see a cop pull somebody over. I'm glad for the tickets that people receive for talking on their phone, texting or speeding. These are for safety. Have you seen how many deaths are caused everyday for people not paying attention when they are driving? They need to enforce these laws even more. Thank you officers for doing all you can. I appreciate it!!!

Reply

2 DianeDimond January 11, 2010 at 3:47 pm

Facebook Friend Rick Shaftan writes:

"The real question is with declining crime rates, what are all these cops doing — since police manpower is at record highs? The answer: cops don't fight crime anymore. They're now tax collectors for the welfare state. A patrolman is no longer a friend you need when you are in trouble, he's a revenue agent looking to nickel and dime you for being… See More 6 over the limit, having a light out or talking on your cell phone. None of this has anything to do with safety and everything with paying ridiculously inflated police salaries, benefits and pensions. Towns are told that new cops "pay for themselves" with the revenue they bring in — and that revenue comes from who? "The other guy"?? When you're in the next town, you're the "other guy."

Reply

3 DianeDimond January 11, 2010 at 3:48 pm

Rick –
.
Not sure "police manpower is at record highs" – I know it certainly isn't in my little town. But there is no denying that Peace officers are now engaged in lots of revenue collecting – and that's too bad, in my opinion. That's NOT what they take an oath to do! ~ DD

Reply

4 JOHN January 11, 2010 at 5:17 pm

Have you seen how they do the new stats. Well I have they have made some crimes into diffirent categories which lowers the stats. I bet this has not been look at. New Crime Analyst changed the reporting structure a few years ago, don't let them fool you too.

Reply

5 DianeDimond January 12, 2010 at 4:09 am

John – I'd REALLY like more information on this – where do you suggest I look?
thanks for writing! And thank you, officer, for your service to the community! ~ DD

Reply

6 DianeDimond January 12, 2010 at 3:56 am

Facebook Friend Sean Bagley writes:

"I don't think police are paid ridiculous salaries. This is my opinion, and there are NO law enforcement officers of any kind in my family or my life: If I had a job where every car I approached could have a myriad of charachters inside, with guns, you would have to pay me in the HIGH six-figures, base salary, in addition to a full pension for the rest of my life. Whether it's a dark car on a dark street, or a home or apartment wherein there's a domestic dispute raging, you could not pay me enough money to be a law enforcement officer these days— they risk their lives every minute of every day they're on the job."

Reply

7 DianeDimond January 12, 2010 at 4:00 am

Facebook Friend (and police officer) John Underhill writes:

" Have you seen how they do the new stats. Well I have – they have made some crimes into different categories which lowers the stats. I bet this has not been looked at. New Crime Analyst changed the reporting structure a few years ago, don't let them fool you too.

Reply

8 DianeDimond January 12, 2010 at 4:00 am

Officer John,
I'd love more information on this. Can you help? ~ DD

ps – thanks for your service!

Reply

9 Bill Korbet January 17, 2010 at 5:49 pm

The largest increases in gun ownership also have the largest drops in violent crimes.
Thirty-one states (IT IS NOW UP TO 40 STATES) now have such laws—called "shall-issue" laws.
http://www.press.uchicago.edu/Misc/Chicago/493636...

Read the book:
http://www.amazon.com/More-Guns-Less-Crime-Unders...

Hinkle – U.S. Trends: More Guns, Less Crime
A. BARTON HINKLE TIMES-DISPATCH COLUMNIST
Published: January 15, 2010
At the same time, the nation has seen a sharp drop in violent crime.
Which means the gun nuts are proving liberals wrong, too.
Yet despite a remarkable uptick in gun sales, during the first six months of 2009 violent crime fell 4.4 percent, property crime fell 6.6 percent, homicides fell 10 percent, and car thefts fell 19 percent.
If guns caused crime, then we should have expected precisely the opposite to happen — particularly given the related liberal belief, which Mac Donald dissects, that hard economic times drive people to desperate acts.
Read the complete article:
http://www2.timesdispatch.com/rtd/news/opinion/op...

bk

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